Part II
Introduction
In Part 1 of a Path to Recovery I recommended that the Democrats return to the grassroots level. I believe that they should focus on state and local races and refine a message that appeals to the general population. They’ve been unsuccessful in their top-down approach. Let’s take a look at where they could go from there.
Acknowledge the Need for Change
The first step toward recovery is an honest assessment of what went wrong. Ignoring electoral losses or solely blaming external factors without self-reflection is a common pitfall. I already see some of this finger pointing and blame deflection going on as I read about various Democrats’ responses to the election. For example, Sheila Nix, Vice President Kamala Harris’ chief of staff, stated during a summit at Harvard University that Harris ran a “pretty flawless campaign”. If it had been flawless, she would have won.
After their 2012 election loss, the Republican Party conducted a comprehensive analysis, resulting in the “Growth and Opportunity Project” report. This internal review highlighted areas for improvement, including outreach to minority communities and the need for a clearer economic message.
For Democrats, a similar post-mortem analysis could prove invaluable. By examining voter data, exit polls, and demographic shifts, the party can identify why key groups, such as working-class voters, Latinos, young men, and suburbanites, may have turned away. Addressing these issues directly and transparently can rebuild trust and demonstrate the party’s seriousness about listening to voters’ concerns.
Beyond incremental reforms, Democrats must embrace bold, transformative policies that resonate with voters who feel left behind by the current system. The party needs to develop a compelling identity focused on concrete, tangible improvements in people’s lives rather than abstract ideals.
Reevaluate Economic Messaging and Focus on the Working Class
Economic anxiety remains a powerful driver of voter behavior. While Democrats have traditionally been seen as the party of the working class, recent elections reveal erosion in this support, particularly among white, non-college-educated voters. In 2024, exit polls indicated that economic issues, such as inflation and job security, were top concerns for many voters.
To reconnect, Democrats need to sharpen their economic message. A strong focus on job creation, wage growth, and small business support can resonate with those alienated by a perceived focus on identity politics. Franklin D. Roosevelt’s New Deal is a historical example of pivoting toward a broad, economically focused coalition. A modern equivalent could involve targeted investments in infrastructure, clean energy jobs, family farm support, and small business relief.
Bridge the Urban-Rural Divide
One significant challenge for Democrats is the growing urban-rural divide. While the party finds success in urban areas, it struggles to maintain support in rural and suburban communities. In states like Ohio and Pennsylvania, losses in rural counties often outweigh gains in urban centers, tipping closely contested races.
Reaching rural voters requires more than policy proposals; it demands a cultural shift in communication. Democrats could emphasize issues directly impacting these communities, such as healthcare access, rural broadband expansion, job protection and development, and agricultural support. Joe Biden’s modest gains among rural voters in 2020 suggest that sustained effort could lead to further inroads.
Rebuild the Coalition and Energize Young and Minority Voters
The Democratic Party’s success has historically hinged on its ability to build a diverse coalition of young voters, minorities, women, and progressives. However, recent trends indicate waning enthusiasm among these groups, particularly younger voters disillusioned with incremental policy changes and the slow pace of progress on climate change and student debt relief. There is also significant concern about job availability and long-term financial stability among young voters.
Mobilizing less-engaged voters, especially in non-presidential election years, is crucial. Grassroots organizing, like Barack Obama’s 2008 campaign strategy, could prove effective. Meeting voters where they are, both online and in their communities, and addressing their key concerns can reinvigorate this coalition. In the recent presidential election, the Republicans made a focused effort on less-engaged voters. This was particularly effective in Arizona where it may have made the difference in shifting the state to Donald Trump.
Simplify the Policy Agenda and Focus on Clear, Unifying Issues
A common criticism of Democratic campaigns is that their platform can appear fragmented, with overwhelming attention to niche issues. Democrats should consider rallying around a few key issues with broad appeal, such as healthcare reform, economic fairness, job creation, and climate action.
Bill Clinton’s 1992 campaign slogan, “It’s the economy, stupid,” streamlined messaging and maintained focus on voters’ primary concerns. This year the Republicans were successful with a variation of this message.
Democrats today might focus on reducing prescription drug costs, enhancing mental health services, and promoting job-centered climate policy to unite progressive and moderate wings.
Invest in Digital Strategy and Combat Misinformation
The shift to digital campaigning has fundamentally changed electoral dynamics. While Democrats historically led in digital strategy, Republicans have closed the gap, excelling in targeted ads and social media engagement. In fact, during the last election the Republicans generally ignored traditional media going directly to social media where they could spread their message without critical evaluation or fact-checking.
To regain their edge, Democrats need to invest in data analytics, targeted outreach, and robust real time fact-checking to combat misinformation. They must have a group dedicated to continuously monitor and respond to social media campaigns. A strong digital presence can engage younger, tech-savvy voters with clear messaging that rapidly counters disinformation.
Conclusion: A Resilient Path Forward
Recovering from electoral defeat requires adapting, evolving, and embracing change. Continuing to attempt to respond to every special interest group will continue to alienate a majority of voters. This is not something many progressive Democrats want to consider. However, by focusing on economic issues, bridging cultural divides, re-energizing their traditional coalition, and investing in grassroots and state-level efforts, Democrats can lay the groundwork for future success.
History shows that political parties rebound when they listen to voters and refine their strategies. The road ahead will be challenging; the Democratic Party has been trapped in an echo chamber of progressive demands.
By developing a clear vision and a commitment to addressing a diverse electorate’s needs, the Democratic Party can reposition itself as a champion of the people. The key will be finding a balance between the aspirations of its current base and the practical concerns of everyday Americans who once were its base.
Ignorance Redux
By John Turley
On January 16, 2025
In Commentary, Medicine, Politics
On his first day in office, the new far right governor of West Virginia issued an executive order allowing for extensive exemptions from the school vaccination mandate. When taken with the nomination of a virulent anti vaxxer for Secretary of Health and Human Services, I am concerned that we are in a rush to allow our children to die of easily preventable diseases. With this in mind, I’m reposting my article The Triumph of Ignorance from last April. At that time—as you will see in the first paragraph—I had some hope. Those hopes have since been dashed.
“There are two ways to be fooled. One is to believe what is not true; the other is to refuse to believe what is true.”– Søren Kierkegaard
Saturday morning, I was reading in the newspaper about the resurgence of measles in West Virginia. I find it appalling that this disease should be returning, given that we have safe and effective vaccinations. What is next, polio, smallpox, or even plague? It is only through the unexpected veto by our governor that the ill-advised bill passed by our legislature to make all vaccinations virtually optional did not become law.
Some people may wonder why vaccinations are important. There are two principal reasons to ensure that a large portion of the population is vaccinated against communicable diseases. The first is that it reduces the individual vulnerability to disease. The person who is vaccinated is protected. But there is also a second, sometimes not well-understood, reason. That is herd immunity.
Communicable diseases require a large susceptible population to spread. When a significant portion of the population has been vaccinated the disease does not have the core of potential victims to allow spreading. This means that the vaccinated are protecting the non-vaccinated. However, it does require a large portion of the population to be vaccinated. The idea is that herd immunity will protect those who are unable to be vaccinated either due to age, allergies, or other medical conditions that would prohibit vaccination. It is never going to protect a large proportion of the population who just choose not to be vaccinated. For example, about 90-95% of the population needs to be vaccinated against measles to provide herd immunity.
So why do people who otherwise can be vaccinated choose not to be?
There are, of course, those who have true religious objections to vaccination. There are others who object to vaccination on the basis of personal autonomy. They believe their right to refuse vaccination outweighs any consideration of the health concerns of the frail members of our community.
There are many who mistrust the medical system. There were some cases in the past where unethical studies were conducted on unsuspecting populations. Given the rigorous oversight of medical research now, this no longer happens. Information about research into vaccinations and their safety and efficacy can be found on websites for the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention and the World Health Organization among others. (Website references are provided at the end of this post.)
What concerns me most are those who refuse to believe reputable medical authorities, government agencies, and mainline news services. They prefer to get their information from anonymous websites or from conspiracy theory websites that still give credence to the now-discredited 1999 study linking the MMR vaccine to autism. They completely ignore the fact that 10 of the 11 reported co-authors disavowed any part in the conclusions of the study. They also ignore the fact that the principal author was found guilty of fraud for personal gain as he was employed by the manufacturer of rival drugs. They also ignore the fact that he lost his medical license over his falsifications in this study. Yet, he is still cited in anti-vaccine literature as an expert source.
Equally disturbing is the fact that vaccine resistance has become a part of political identification. Certain reactionary political groups have, for some unfathomable reason, decided that refusing vaccination is a badge of their political allegiance. They seem to care more about maintaining their political purity than they care about science, public health, or even the welfare of their family and friends. Politicizing public health is dangerous for all of us. I’m not sure how we overcome this. It is easy to find the truth and verify it through fact-based studies, yet people refuse to do it.
I encourage everyone to work hard to ensure that our political leaders do not remove vaccination mandates for school children. For those of us of my age, we already have immunity through vaccination or prior exposure to the disease. It is our grandchildren and their children and their children’s children who will suffer through the return of these deadly diseases.
SOURCES:
World Health Organization: https://www.who.int/health-topics/vaccines-and-immunization#tab=tab_1
CDC: https://www.cdc.gov/vaccines/index.html https://www.cdc.gov/vaccines/hcp/vis/index.html
WV DHHR: https://oeps.wv.gov/immunizations/Pages/default.aspx
Immunise.org: https://www.vaccineinformation.org/